2020 OC Changes and their Impact on Fantasy Football

Below you will find any/all changes made this offseason for play calling OCs. Additionally, based on truly neutral game scripts we investigated how (if at all) things may change with their new teams, especially in True Run vs Pass rates. TmCoachPrev. OC Tm.sNeutral Prev Tm.s Tend.What to glean from playcaller's previous tendencies (using neutral game … Continue reading 2020 OC Changes and their Impact on Fantasy Football →

True Target Distribution from 2019

Target Distribution by position isn't new. However, Game situation has a large affect on targets. Meaning, to have a higher level of predictability, teasing out game situations and looking at the target ratios will help give us a clearer picture of where teams like to distribute targets, Below you will find what happened last year, … Continue reading True Target Distribution from 2019 →

True/Adjusted OL Run Blocking Projections for 2020 Fantasy Football

RB performance is, by in large a function of OL ability. But how much? Football Outsiders tries to capture this with ALY yards. Honing in on information valuable to fantasy owners in 2020 we took it 2 steps further: 1. If ALY yards hone in on short distance yards relative to 10-20 yard, or breakaway … Continue reading True/Adjusted OL Run Blocking Projections for 2020 Fantasy Football →

5 Bold Predictions for the 2019 Fantasy Football Season

41%. Forty-one percent is the average attrition rate for the top 100 Fantasy Football Rankings every year. The NFL’s Top 100 players, as voted on by their peers, sees 20-40 new faces each year. The NFL itself has so much parity, it shocks me how often fantasy owners rely on the past year to repeat … Continue reading 5 Bold Predictions for the 2019 Fantasy Football Season →

How Kevin Durant Changed Sports Forever

If you missed the NBA Finals last night, Superstar Kevin Durant made the decision to play through an injury that's held him out of a the past few weeks. Since Durant's team, the Golden State Warriors, were facing elimination in the Championship, and possibly to quiet criticism that he is a "soft player", Durant put … Continue reading How Kevin Durant Changed Sports Forever →

Top 10 Reasons the 2018 Bears are the 2015 Cubs

Top 10 Reasons the 2018 Bears are the 2015 CubsAm I saying the Bears are winning the Super Bowl next year? Read on...There have been far too little comparisons between the 2015 Chicago Cubs and 2018 Chicago Bears. A wrong I intend to fix in this article. For our longtime readers, or anyone that can see … Continue reading Top 10 Reasons the 2018 Bears are the 2015 Cubs →

2019 NFL Teams on the Rise/Fall

2019 NFL Teams on the Rise/FallThe NFL is filled with parity, "Any Given Sunday" is very much a reality in the league. This is even more evident when zooming out to a season-to-season lens. Dramatic turnarounds are not uncommon from one year to the next: bottom feeders from the year before winning their division, teams … Continue reading 2019 NFL Teams on the Rise/Fall →

Why you shouldn’t draft Julian Edelman or Mark Ingram

Why you shouldn't draft Julian Edelman or Mark IngramJulian Edelman and Mark Ingram are both facing suspensions in the upcoming year for violating league performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs) policy. Beyond the obvious that these players will only be available for 3/4 of the season have you ever wondered: if these guys were taking something illegal to … Continue reading Why you shouldn’t draft Julian Edelman or Mark Ingram →

2018 NFL Predictions

2018 NFL PredictionsYou likely remember from last year the 2017 NFL Predictions. There I used 3 key, objective predictive metrics to help us know which teams are rising and falling in the upcoming year.The 3 key areas we look at to statistically:Net Close Wins/Losses (avid readers have seen this before in NHL NCW/Ls and NBA NCW/Ls)Pythagorean Win Theorem (fully explained … Continue reading 2018 NFL Predictions →