Found in the Sports Info Solutions Datahub, FPS has leveraged QB success rates relative to defensive coverage throughout the 2020 season to better predict expected QB performance relative to the market. As a matter of fact, the QB vs Coverage series was one of our best performing models of the season. The model was not … Continue reading 2020 QB Success by Defensive Coverage
A home-run is easier to hit over a 380 ft. wall than a 400 ft. wall. A jump shot made wide-open vs. a contested shot is far more likely to succeed. Running the football in the NFL effectively is easier when there are less would-be-tacklers close to the line of scrimmage. Because of this, today … Continue reading 2020 RB Success Rate by Box Size
Flipping the Run/Play-Action Success Question on it's head. Dec 30, 2018; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) hands the ball to Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson (32) during the second half against the Arizona Cardinals at CenturyLink Field. Seattle defeated Arizona 27-24. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports A friend of … Continue reading Does the lack of Play-Action(PA) PASSING, lead to a decrease in RUN success?
Metrics like Expected Points Added (EPA) can tell us how well a player is performing in a game, season, etc. But what about how consistent a player is? For anyone that needs to take a predictive or forward-looking view on performance, how consistent a player is, may be just as important as base performance. Being … Continue reading Who is the Most Consistent QB in 2020?
Only 6 games, but there are a few clear disparities this week. Remember the first set of coverages are season long deployment averages by the respective defense. The second set pertains to the team's QB, and the numbers represent a QB's success RELATIVE to their average. In other words, the way to interpret the numbers … Continue reading QB vs Coverage Divisional Round