Jon Gruden was quoted earlier this season stating that “Play-Action passing doesn’t work vs. man coverage”. This was shortly before all the racial/homophobic statements that came out of his mouth were unearthed, but after some of the “quotable Gruden-isms” we refer to often, like “Spider 2 Y Banana”. And besides him saying it earlier in … Continue reading Does Play-Action Passing work better vs. Zone Defense?
Much has been said about the ways defenses have played high-powered offences, specifically the Chiefs, using more and more 2-High Safety looks. Similarly there has been plenty of talk in the fantasy circles as to how this affects Kelce. Essentially, defenses increase there use of 2-Safety looks in hopes to limit the explosive plays from … Continue reading Travis Kelce and the Chiefs vs Double-High Coverage
Not all 3rd downs are created equal. Clearly a 3rd and 2, is much easier to convert vs. a 3rd and 10, right? Than, why do we give so much credence to a RAW "3rd Down Conversion Rate"? I noted this issue last year when we saw how low Mitch Trubisky's 3rd conversion rate was, … Continue reading Why 3rd Down Conversion Rate is Worthless
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By now you know that FPS leverages "Matchup-Based" variables to derive value in both props and fantasy markets. If you are familiar with our work in Coverage Elasticity, we dove into a similar breakdown before (from another lens). Given that, we thought it would be interesting to see what TE/WRs last season performed best vs … Continue reading What WR hated Man Coverage the most in 2020?