Fantasy Football

Does the lack of Play-Action(PA) PASSING, lead to a decrease in RUN success?

Flipping the Run/Play-Action Success Question on it’s head. A friend of mine asked my opinion as to why the Steelers run game has fallen off the last two years. Knowing last year was most likely due to the loaded boxes (as described in the Football Outsiders Almanac) defenses lined-up with Big Ben, I focused mainly … Continue reading Does the lack of Play-Action(PA) PASSING, lead to a decrease in RUN success?

NFL Week 16 Picks

On the heels of another strong week (12-4), and one of the only publications that called the LAC SU win, and hinted at the two big upsets LW (through no plays and ATS for the UD), we maintain a correlation over 60% and pick accuracy (SU) over 70%. Please note this is NOT the final … Continue reading NFL Week 16 Picks

NFL Turnover Likelihood Week 15

Here is how the Turnover likelihood adjustment to the model looks like for week 15. Full model to come after practice injury reports come out on Friday.

NFL Turnover Likelihood Week 14

Here we go again, correlated at almost 46% last week. Remember “TO Likely” relates to THAT QB, and “Opp TO Li” relates to your opponent turning the ball over.

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