2020 QB Success by Defensive Coverage

Found in the Sports Info Solutions Datahub, FPS has leveraged QB success rates relative to defensive coverage throughout the 2020 season to better predict expected QB performance relative to the market. As a matter of fact, the QB vs Coverage series was one of our best performing models of the season. The model was not … Continue reading 2020 QB Success by Defensive Coverage

2020 RB Success Rate by Box Size

A home-run is easier to hit over a 380 ft. wall than a 400 ft. wall. A jump shot made wide-open vs. a contested shot is far more likely to succeed. Running the football in the NFL effectively is easier when there are less would-be-tacklers close to the line of scrimmage. Because of this, today … Continue reading 2020 RB Success Rate by Box Size

2020 NFL Pass Coverage Analysis

Throughout the season we used opponent's coverage use and success relative to their opponent's QB success within the same guidelines to help us predict outcomes the market did not account for. Today we're doing a deep dive on NFL Pass Coverage, to help understand what defenses use, what they do well and where they can … Continue reading 2020 NFL Pass Coverage Analysis

How Tampa Bay shut down Mahomes in Super Bowl LV

Tom Brady, likely pumped full of osteoarthritis medicine, led the 3-point underdog Tampa Bay Buccaneers to a Super Bowl Victory yesterday. However, the game was won by the absolute clinic put on by Todd Bowles and the Buccaneers defense put on last night. Holding Mahomes to single digit points for the first time since...ever? Seriously, … Continue reading How Tampa Bay shut down Mahomes in Super Bowl LV

Does the lack of Play-Action(PA) PASSING, lead to a decrease in RUN success?

Flipping the Run/Play-Action Success Question on it's head. Dec 30, 2018; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) hands the ball to Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson (32) during the second half against the Arizona Cardinals at CenturyLink Field. Seattle defeated Arizona 27-24. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports A friend of … Continue reading Does the lack of Play-Action(PA) PASSING, lead to a decrease in RUN success?