NFL Turnover Likelihood Week 12

Winning the turnover battle has a strong correlation to winning the game. This is not news. However, the ways in which other sites have gone about predicting this historically has been flawed (FPS included). Here's what we know about turnovers: Fumble recovery is a function almost entirely of luck. We know that regression sways recovery … Continue reading NFL Turnover Likelihood Week 12

Top 5 Quick NFL Team Fixes brought you you by SIS Rookie Handbook

The 2020 SIS Football Rookie Handbook, only two years in its existence, has immediately become a yearly “must-order” along with the Football Outsiders Almanac for any analytics junkies. Most of the 518 pages of Advanced Statistics goodness is dedicated to the incoming Rookie Class, but it also includes short sections breaking down every team and its … Continue reading Top 5 Quick NFL Team Fixes brought you you by SIS Rookie Handbook

Rethinking NFL Home Field Advantage Part II

As noted earlier in Rethinking NFL Home Field Advantage Part I, Home Field Advantage (HFA) been proven to be MOST directly a function of referees being human. And although Vegas still prices HFA based on stadium, instead of humans, there is a clear opportunity to find market value there.  With that being said, if we … Continue reading Rethinking NFL Home Field Advantage Part II

Rethinking NFL Home Field Advantage Part I

NFL Home Field Advantage by Referee As many have learned through our studies and advanced analytics, home field advantage (HFA) exists in all sports, but is largely due to referees and their (subliminal) human nature. You can learn about this phenomenon in detail on the podcast about Home Field Advantage by Freakonomics. With that being … Continue reading Rethinking NFL Home Field Advantage Part I

How Kevin Durant Changed Sports Forever

If you missed the NBA Finals last night, Superstar Kevin Durant made the decision to play through an injury that's held him out of a the past few weeks. Since Durant's team, the Golden State Warriors, were facing elimination in the Championship, and possibly to quiet criticism that he is a "soft player", Durant put … Continue reading How Kevin Durant Changed Sports Forever

Top 10 Reasons the 2018 Bears are the 2015 Cubs

Top 10 Reasons the 2018 Bears are the 2015 CubsAm I saying the Bears are winning the Super Bowl next year? Read on...There have been far too little comparisons between the 2015 Chicago Cubs and 2018 Chicago Bears. A wrong I intend to fix in this article. For our longtime readers, or anyone that can see … Continue reading Top 10 Reasons the 2018 Bears are the 2015 Cubs