NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 15 Model

We need to wait for practice injury reports to release the full slate of selections, but below are the match-ups (NOT included in the objective model) to help us identify QBs mismatches. As a reminder the first set of columns indicate how frequently a team uses the respective coverage. The second set is a QB's … Continue reading NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 15 Model

NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 14 Model

We are testing what we call the "Mayfield/Goff Adjustment" this week: adding a multiplier for QBs most sensitive to the pressure, relative to opponent's BLITZ (not pressure rate, on purpose). This, along with the product are the two columns to the right. Again players in yellow are either questionable and/or low volume, so take them … Continue reading NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 14 Model

QB v Opponent Coverage Model – Week 13

Last week, despite multiple surprises at the QB position, we released our QB v Opponent Coverage Model. This model, although not included in our weekly aggregate model (yet), helps predict QB outcomes for the week by stratifying QB success by coverage and comparing it to their opponents likelihood to play x coverage. Below you will … Continue reading QB v Opponent Coverage Model – Week 13

QB vs Opponent Coverage Model

Week 12 It's been a minute. My apologies as my time at Sports Info Solutions has taken up the lion's share of my time the past few months, but our models, data and forecasts are the better for it. More to come later, but for now you can find the QB breakdown of positive play … Continue reading QB vs Opponent Coverage Model

2020 OC Changes and their Impact on Fantasy Football

Below you will find any/all changes made this offseason for play calling OCs. Additionally, based on truly neutral game scripts we investigated how (if at all) things may change with their new teams, especially in True Run vs Pass rates. TmCoachPrev. OC Tm.sNeutral Prev Tm.s Tend.What to glean from playcaller's previous tendencies (using neutral game … Continue reading 2020 OC Changes and their Impact on Fantasy Football