QB vs Coverage Divisional Round

Only 6 games, but there are a few clear disparities this week. Remember the first set of coverages are season long deployment averages by the respective defense. The second set pertains to the team's QB, and the numbers represent a QB's success RELATIVE to their average. In other words, the way to interpret the numbers … Continue reading QB vs Coverage Divisional Round

NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 15 Model

We need to wait for practice injury reports to release the full slate of selections, but below are the match-ups (NOT included in the objective model) to help us identify QBs mismatches. As a reminder the first set of columns indicate how frequently a team uses the respective coverage. The second set is a QB's … Continue reading NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 15 Model

NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 14 Model

We are testing what we call the "Mayfield/Goff Adjustment" this week: adding a multiplier for QBs most sensitive to the pressure, relative to opponent's BLITZ (not pressure rate, on purpose). This, along with the product are the two columns to the right. Again players in yellow are either questionable and/or low volume, so take them … Continue reading NFL QB vs. Coverage Week 14 Model