NCAA Identities 2021 – Offense

As we described the past couple weeks, notably in the NFL Offensive Identities we offered a basic breakdown of what a team REALLY does (from a coach’s perspective).

Mind you the purpose of this piece is to give you a “totem” of sorts when setting your models, predictions, etc to properly understand what a team does and doesn’t do.

Given the amount of teams/data and wordpress’ inability to make charts I figured it best to present all datapoints as a ranking. If you would like to see the raw figures, or other versions of the chars, just let me know.

PERSONNEL / Pass vs. Run Tendency (Rank)

Pass Rate11 all12 all21 all10 all20 all13 allOTHER
Air Force130118118286515811
Akron4823839748705854
Alabama1917779570485689
Appalachian State7571238529703896
Arizona3552602065393640
Arizona State979562133894841
Arkansas120112597565258110
Arkansas State5257597461358127
Army129127126658660582
Auburn3870174272702569
Ball State2986189740705135
Baylor889265386562877
Boise State5024706780701980
Boston College1177978458535888
Bowling Green121173567870327
Buffalo12238425960704066
BYU6578597864427102
California305956975570423
Central Michigan5247369786282164
Charlotte8181205843143470
Cincinnati3929449067704586
Clemson5510954786705887
Coastal Carolina9210759486304650
Colorado11950306452702991
Colorado State851261978670222
Duke7898997867058104
East Carolina59196797867058109
Eastern Michigan4157329742705267
FIU6730494086575885
Florida60610448862358118
Florida Atlantic776212314172558103
Florida State729952845273356
Fresno State1465547223385879
Georgia449812418670530
Georgia Southern12510480586625821
Georgia State11211949385415872
Georgia Tech95131196036858124
Hawaii51124107131215832
Houston36467249226855111
Illinois12188156657701533
Indiana4642338076703082
Iowa10311151761125831
Iowa State261152628670634
Kansas1018469264965826
Kansas State8293761186105839
Kent State10074909712705898
Kentucky9397142825645892
Liberty5435465086702363
Louisiana74531697667058112
Louisiana Tech2112312633915851
Louisiana-Monroe9412110583542588
Louisville109363576597035107
LSU33110115977705829
Marshall345999786702594
Maryland2028509747355893
Memphis31810623867058105
Miami FL1171039777705862
Miami OH3277641086704743
Michigan866821618670858
Michigan State71313897817058100
Middle Tennessee4712012492375859
Minnesota1279663784170546
Mississippi State2127126972458127
Missouri5645655530493252
Navy128127126978647581
NC State875971924558117
Nebraska11632539182702447
Nevada433845726651476
New Mexico12390811832705812
New Mexico State61051179741858113
North Carolina73311097865537125
North Texas118551197867058127
Northern Illinois126112192184325310
Northwestern10564225454703960
Notre Dame2457393186431349
Ohio10644414686705855
Ohio State1718749786704383
Oklahoma427312296425873
Oklahoma State7982889613265790
Old Dominion6240408886705861
Ole Miss701212151282058115
Oregon69410143864658126
Oregon State1111019398670938
Penn State1343483586701057
Pittsburgh10672670336958106
Purdue77682273767589
Rice11412268257470124
Rutgers911473328619415
San Diego State90103473421335824
San Jose State2283432286704214
SMU2714982479705899
South Alabama3756279786703146
South Carolina9989282971451828
South Florida104209387275858123
Southern Mississippi1014896738661587
Stanford15100581573152015
Syracuse115669175155058116
TCU87108927410704442
Temple23102109763701719
Tennessee45221139735705820
Texas6894133786115875
Texas A&M5726663886365895
Texas State58491009716704984
Texas Tech8327618144375878
Toledo66157997507058122
Troy2885553619245897
Tulane8969254586225853
Tulsa76631149711705881
UAB9687248986702217
UCF8072788218705865
UCLA10851851262315071
UCONN43161111753595874
UMASS10761298669701644
UNLV9121875275345848
USC1680844862958114
Utah631164798670116
Utah State49911169787058127
UTEP8411910233935825
UTSA64393177867058119
Vanderbilt61378697207058108
Virginia1125108688354583
Virginia Tech110343468867058101
Wake Forest25211297867058121
Washington535445625170737
Washington State18127126971705845
West Virginia40601097114405868
Western Kentucky3106120946665836
Western Michigan98417130341658120
Wisconsin12410957686635818
Wyoming113113371668171113

*All data thanks to our friends at SIS and their Datahub

**ALL Data is only collected during games within 16 points, the first 3 downs and quarters

Chart Notes
-All personnel data is relative to roster information (NOT FORMATION, i.e. 11 personnel is when 1 RB and 1 TE is on the field)
-In ___Run (vs Pass) shows the called run rate for said personnel, hence a high number means alot of running and low number means alot of passing (from that personnel)
-___ all: (11 all) refers to both run and pass together in the respective personnel

PRE SNAP (Rank)

Jet %Not Jet Motion %(ALL MOTION)NO Motion %NH %SG %
Air Force12837124117#N/A
Akron8824241071123
Alabama961313118626
Appalachian State1211499324814
Arizona4764537810284
Arizona State1102038933365
Arkansas1165393383447
Arkansas State26593110043#N/A
Army1291113012894
Auburn3738181134975
Ball State218973589780
Baylor9815201119471
Boise State9523291025940
Boston College9461725911390
Bowling Green3335141176277
Buffalo8976973437#N/A
BYU236343884664
California6975785311085
Central Michigan7278914011653
Charlotte125661256330
Cincinnati11312111205442
Clemson50686269923
Coastal Carolina924858732#N/A
Colorado11167109229681
Colorado State58105113187686
Duke30128126519#N/A
East Carolina4510410031648
Eastern Michigan13110963544#N/A
FIU36119121108545
Florida8283104272848
Florida Atlantic6691103285267
Florida State68100112198740
Fresno State2743191129258
Georgia863942898276
Georgia Southern127112210914#N/A
Georgia State761021151677#N/A
Georgia Tech5997106255817
Hawaii714948835738
Houston6437271041004
Illinois11828686312688
Indiana9331409171#N/A
Iowa10621349713092
Iowa State126431284249
Kansas12191012112550
Kansas State7860607112969
Kent State441261274718
Kentucky8554597212383
Liberty55879041339
Louisiana1225412710#N/A
Louisiana Tech1013447847216
Louisiana-Monroe18130130193#N/A
Louisville8474844786#N/A
LSU1710795362131
Marshall4973676456#N/A
Maryland157049826935
Memphis389080514#N/A
Miami FL8121101301732
Miami OH34361511610370
Michigan607985461633
Michigan State805155766666
Middle Tennessee311571602324
Minnesota83122129273#N/A
Mississippi State1103458611#N/A
Missouri7727211109552
Navy1302212912095
NC State812216115552
Nebraska12010121196812
Nevada4125102294013
New Mexico1094675569943
New Mexico State5247329931#N/A
North Carolina311131102118#N/A
North Texas97109124738#N/A
Northern Illinois1141739929061
Northwestern6192105267474
Notre Dame5741281035159
Ohio90101122935#N/A
Ohio State35583695862
Oklahoma911698331525
Oklahoma State676974571329
Old Dominion3985775441#N/A
Ole Miss2999874419
Oregon103192510612#N/A
Oregon State11544765512291
Penn State7032231082657
Pittsburgh406652792937
Purdue2257261059863
Rice11726617012482
Rutgers63525081111#N/A
San Diego State24117117149172
San Jose State20958249107#N/A
SMU1111186457820
South Alabama12375126757
South Carolina10229468510973
South Florida4296943788#N/A
Southern Mississippi105881201110455
Stanford61241082311979
Syracuse658092398327
TCU25118118137928
Temple582359612721
Tennessee511081112020#N/A
Texas124881237044
Texas A&M7955567525#N/A
Texas State141201161584#N/A
Texas Tech3298894227#N/A
Toledo915065666510
Troy537269623060
Tulane993041908068
Tulsa41127128336#N/A
UAB7562666532#N/A
UCF467164678136
UCLA56106114172256
UCONN488483486022
UMASS7377884310151
UNLV108163010167#N/A
USC1994815061#N/A
Utah10725448711489
Utah State281121072451
UTEP11233577410846
UTSA74565477475
Vanderbilt8745518010534
Virginia161891228911
Virginia Tech10014171145015
Wake Forest7129123824#N/A
Washington1093706111578
Washington State54656368106#N/A
West Virginia624237944554
Western Kentucky28633985319
Western Michigan431231256396
Wisconsin104811191212193
Wyoming11940795211887

Chart Notes
-Jet % – Jet Motion rate
-Not Jet Motion % – Pre snap motion, excluding Jet motion
-NH – No Huddle Rate
-SG – Shotgun rate (including Pistol)

PASS GAME (rank)

rponon rpo PATOT PAnon PASHORTMEDIUMDEEPQuickDropRollout
Air Force12871120111301213015
Akron8512512386746911597107
Alabama208145866267628823107
Appalachian State726121191019081411390
Arizona1052756758921231132251
Arizona State869110922774474764573
Arkansas1635141176184405810123
Arkansas State5133281038053596031119
Army12828123129124112773
Auburn608087443774104993844
Ball State3097785329110551171465
Baylor90264091646467965720
Boise State9376933817100102757239
Boston College123423108124335128349
Bowling Green125111127412108108948812
Buffalo621091042715121582310576
BYU5217181131084723124186
California1076694377910118845935
Central Michigan384835968851421112446
Charlotte85720111972084495297
Cincinnati2311986459829602180120
Clemson2699755474615420103100
Coastal Carolina15592610511541023910053
Colorado11111012471130128121928
Colorado State1269399245521161251061
Duke247337942106126507954
East Carolina70118116153591813811136
Eastern Michigan47857554951896289875
FIU983960718566321811580
Florida6646557610040356110714
Florida Atlantic3292735863118151042089
Florida State749510328578737799317
Fresno State845380519922611181070
Georgia693136955148113973748
Georgia Southern649131188632821062176
Georgia State2242129126621902692
Georgia Tech6750656611951193311922
Hawaii75117118131115813676257
Houston1065689429421853154121
Illinois11016448739701011092932
Indiana685268638435835910419
Iowa121671072438541201201715
Iowa State404130101789127107689
Kansas71364190466989105914
Kansas State1082054774311333579627
Kent State311412744125133243128
Kentucky6332349726117441032763
Liberty48776665110944456099
Louisiana3543291025310429953943
Louisiana Tech36694784428866538741
Louisiana-Monroe43120100316955724712610
Louisville1241348831185073011642
LSU42948348408678784671
Marshall49878249587157984625
Maryland59531100368494122583
Memphis101236962606386746155
Miami FL141146269497773873083
Miami OH7644617012822011112101
Michigan8390108231411198248996
Michigan State10128527956105251015021
Middle Tennessee111871242811549546958
Minnesota2121101211138531081962
Mississippi State10912212655761301129130
Missouri1136810229312688864059
Navy128317114119963129234
NC State46124106251012287486768
Nebraska8012271041142624729918
Nevada117128128318971063123127
New Mexico912238931312940102928
New Mexico State11210312110526880513068
North Carolina28372410712314117028123
North Texas91451261221717526666
Northern Illinois77789239598050817823
Northwestern994571602511944718231
Notre Dame597985463398697108122
Ohio116549634703995627145
Ohio State278363689034761003352
Oklahoma6510211101121246917213
Oklahoma State3930251067027111349364
Old Dominion92101115167636922128129
Ole Miss7731286842936635105
Oregon78106114176662754124113
Oregon State1183475541052848126447
Penn State3488725955561003711040
Pittsburgh103100119127557631196114
Purdue953859721975121855837
Rice1222970612473117681272
Rutgers586364671612339427782
San Diego State1210550819291151141279
San Jose State96107117148749472711450
SMU37108884334721105636110
South Alabama5515191123183994449111
South Carolina827590417078341161167
South Florida18239122936528932595
Southern Mississippi97891131810324521011791
Stanford94426764541112912109104
Syracuse61113110214859105812272
TCU8860844711638191795106
Temple1141151256612879895138
Tennessee445612541127166121102
Texas292515116963751923456
Texas A&M4586795265101251121585
Texas State1347161151092336804274
Texas Tech1982428910741262663118
Toledo565153781171330774187
Troy501161013091091181390125
Tulane546457745031122517660
Tulsa1784438810243311674126
UAB898221098910794311816
UCF337051802310290836429
UCLA104194982826043554494
UCONN416246852111477648430
UMASS874058737325109468361
UNLV1027296341043124826532
USC2512191404782712570111
Utah1007498338316112634886
Utah State641113012776912078
UTEP73127122912519102210298
UTSA226132992211664298688
Vanderbilt5311299322711256418181
Virginia119129129210630383555117
Virginia Tech79588150919312698526
Wake Forest4102339812114224056109
Washington81981112041201141101393
Washington State11513013013299686432115
West Virginia57104953620103973653116
Western Kentucky319374577845701875124
Western Michigan1126111201205651158103
Wisconsin127551121930811071231611
Wyoming1206510526817927731257

Chart Notes
-rpo – Run/Pass Option rate
-non rpo PA – non RPO Play Action rate (traditional PA)
-TOT PA – Total Play Action
-Short, Medium and Deep – Attempted passes, intended to go less than 10 yards, between 10-19 yards and over 20 yards respectively
-Quick, Drop and Rollout – 0-3 step drops, 5-7 step drops and designed sprint/roll out passes

RUN GAME (rank)

Read OptionRPOrunsVeerRunsALL OPTNON opt RunsZonePower
Air Force1251303301011283
Akron1131577478426105
Alabama129766241074388
Appalachian State12478103122919112
Arizona808737109227556
Arizona State65625380518447
Arkansas1155222011127104
Arkansas State10610103291023596
Army1101282171141301
Auburn54756786455675
Ball State126445094379041
Baylor5612512112193128
Boise State9774521013010328
Boston College59118961201114117
Bowling Green68103103115161274
Buffalo8932754774783
BYU64651877545126
California11190381161511516
Central Michigan1213710382498348
Charlotte244570369516115
Cincinnati194156191125378
Clemson212140141176269
Coastal Carolina83765181131229
Colorado6612210312388150
Colorado State781236512471247
Duke961610342893299
East Carolina482591349623108
Eastern Michigan227992735811615
FIU934910385466071
Florida35201091229437
Florida Atlantic23569046858051
Florida State854819705911912
Fresno State112384576554783
Georgia844210375568744
Georgia Southern4116681231238
Georgia State654941272129
Georgia Tech37773074577952
Hawaii104858231087259
Houston1002310360707457
Illinois1171199712744586
Indiana463361349625106
Iowa1181069812569338
Iowa State52691770594190
Kansas21058365666863
Kansas State45102541003110724
Kent State74474113010031
Kentucky59835797347358
Liberty3135632510610526
Louisiana50577270597124
Louisiana Tech62534466657754
Louisiana-Monroe1428461311811120
Louisville7110811103284127
LSU88138833987655
Marshall17605138939122
Maryland47866093389932
Memphis901149261056962
Miami FL105678101215180
Miami OH15117103953622109
Michigan40111641052611318
Michigan State8610955118133695
Middle Tennessee18727853785774
Minnesota2818991611520111
Mississippi State696170815017114
Missouri58992099326467
Navy115129161251292
NC State614310362693892
Nebraska251107271046764
Nevada1303410389429734
New Mexico51804121194289
New Mexico State42882184471130
North Carolina116369712411714
North Texas725103212912011
Northern Illinois431201031141710625
Northwestern948485113189536
Notre Dame127310349827160
Ohio41113869624487
Ohio State7982591062530101
Oklahoma1347812210910427
Oklahoma State57363541908123
Old Dominion19747211105576
Ole Miss539103151164982
Oregon20123331287853
Oregon State103126103128321110
Penn State92304860703892
Pittsburgh12832103874410130
Purdue98243151805972
Rice95107341171411813
Rutgers16596237949140
San Diego State361121011042731100
San Jose State276382557610121
SMU1143910383485081
South Alabama11966103110215873
South Carolina10992871191210823
South Florida29952779526170
Southern Mississippi123311563681265
Stanford758576108238942
Syracuse63501456754091
TCU79624577418113
Temple82104103121103794
Tennessee912729508111120
Texas817010398336665
Texas A&M389839923929102
Texas State101149440918249
Texas Tech10899264673398
Toledo309410388431256
Troy892280527915116
Tulane7764103904112110
Tulsa1272100111207061
UAB1081219512656125
UCF335125438810229
UCLA9812645868546
UCONN4926433110011219
UMASS32911678539635
UNLV5510184107244685
USC734667686313118
Utah12012441129224107
Utah State344023281038843
UTEP706810391408645
UTSA44527359726566
Vanderbilt265813329912119
Virginia1077142102293497
Virginia Tech31143667646368
Wake Forest761910339925477
Washington87678696359833
Washington State510032587310922
West Virginia67298948835279
Western Kentucky991710344879239
Western Michigan1221102512628103
Wisconsin102127103130111417
Wyoming39115751112011021

Chart Notes
-Read Option – non veer, non RPO option RUNS
-RPOruns – RPO called play that ended in a run
-VeerRuns – true traditional triple option plays (where you have a dive read, usually the 5-7 technique, and a pitch read either the EMLOS or the Box LB/S)
-ALL OPT – aggregate of the first 3 types of options
-Zone – rate of zone runs (inside, mid, outside, split and stretch) *NOT INCLUDING Read Option
-Power – rate of power runs (power, iso, counter, sweeps etc)

For example, Nebraska is playing Northwestern this weekend, and facing OC Mike Bajakian (was with the team last season). If I am the Nebraska DC, I would be ready to see a lot more 12 personnel than normal (35%) vs. an offense that dictates their run/pass by personnel. They don’t motion much (43%), and operate almost entirely out of the gun (85%). I wouldn’t worry too much about play-action, especially not rpos, and they really pepper the short area of the field (68%), with mostly short game passes (71% quick game). In the run game, its rather traditional, and not-varied with 3/4 of runs having no option component, yet being a relatively high power run team (60% non-zone runs).

I hope this helps you win barguments and enhances your ability to derive +EV bets to start your model. If you would like a special color coated version and/or the core data please let me know (as its difficult to fit all this, properly formatted on your tiny cell phone).

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