Only 6 games, but there are a few clear disparities this week. Remember the first set of coverages are season long deployment averages by the respective defense. The second set pertains to the team’s QB, and the numbers represent a QB’s success RELATIVE to their average. In other words, the way to interpret the numbers is not, who will do best, but who will likely outplay their expectation based on defense they will face.
We also adjusted the TB/NO coverages based on how they played each other earlier in the year. Jared Goff’s broken thumb, sensitivity to pressure and how poorly he has played in his previous 2 true cold games leaves us loving the under 201 yards.