2018 NFL Predictions
You likely remember from last year the 2017 NFL Predictions. There I used 3 key, objective predictive metrics to help us know which teams are rising and falling in the upcoming year.
The 3 key areas we look at to statistically:
- Net Close Wins/Losses (avid readers have seen this before in NHL NCW/Ls and NBA NCW/Ls)
- Pythagorean Win Theorem (fully explained for those that don’t want to admit they have no idea what it actually means)
- Net “Luck” from Turnovers gained (with a little Newmanomics twist)
These data sets help paint a picture of what should have happened “on paper” in 2017, and consequently, give us some insight into 2018. Each one, independently, provides quality information, but I take it another step at the end and combine all three to give you a complete look at what the numbers are telling us.
*What the findings show (red is going down, green, up):
**See 2017 version link above for the full explanation of each metric