True Fantasy Football Rankings 2017

True Fantasy Football Rankings 2017

Part II of the III part series extending from last year’s Articles From Ryan. Following up on the last post’s consistency insight, we dive into how players performed last year relative to their schedule to give us the true fantasy football rankings for 2017. As you scroll down the True Fantasy Football Rankings 2017 you will find a couple charts below breaking down Raw Strength of Schedule (SOS) rank, then ranking of weekly output over schedule ease/difficulty. The last two charts are sorted, first by traditional scoring over schedule, then by CV (Coefficient of Variation, or average over standard deviation) over schedule. The latter being the ultimate depiction of true fantasy performance this past season. I label it as the MVP rankings since it empirically tells us who put up the most points, most consistently, regardless of their SOS.

You can also find the raw data to help you with your research by clicking on the 2017 NFL Fantasy Consistency Data.

*Only players above 7.5 PPG (additionally deleted non-fantasy relevant players)

Hardest Schedule

Rank Player, Team, Pos. SOS Avg.
1 Adam Shaheen, Chi TE 9.69
2 Eric Ebron, Det TE 10.25
3 Ty Montgomery, GB RB Q 10.31
4 Chris Thompson, Wsh RB Q 10.94
5 Samaje Perine, Wsh RB 10.94
6 Josh Gordon, Cle WR 11.19
7 Corey Coleman, Cle WR 11.19
8 DeShone Kizer, Cle QB 11.31
9 Kevin Hogan, Cle QB 11.31
10 Stefon Diggs, Min WR 11.5
11 Adam Thielen, Min WR 11.5
12 Mike Wallace, Bal WR 11.63
13 Jeremy Maclin, Bal WR 11.63
14 A.J. Green, Cin WR Q 11.88
15 Brandon LaFell, Cin WR 11.88
16 Kyle Rudolph, Min TE 11.94
17 Cameron Brate, TB TE 12.13
18 O.J. Howard, TB TE Q 12.13
19 Aaron Rodgers, GB QB Q 12.19
20 Brett Hundley, GB QB 12.19
21 Marvin Jones Jr., Det WR 12.25
22 Golden Tate, Det WR 12.25
23 Tom Brady, NE QB 12.25
24 T.Y. Hilton, Ind WR 12.25
25 Kenny Golladay, Det WR 12.25
Easiest Schedule

Rank Player, Team, Pos. SOS Avg.
1 Travis Kelce, KC TE 20.19
2 Zach Ertz, Phi TE 18.81
3 Russell Wilson, Sea QB 18.69
4 Jason Witten, Dal TE 18.19
5 Hunter Henry, LAC TE Q 18.06
6 Jarvis Landry, Mia WR 17.81
7 Kenny Stills, Mia WR 17.81
8 DeVante Parker, Mia WR 17.81
9 Jimmy Graham, Sea TE 17.56
10 Julio Jones, Atl WR 17.5
11 Mohamed Sanu, Atl WR 17.5
12 DeMarco Murray, Ten RB Q 17.44
13 Derrick Henry, Ten RB 17.44
14 Larry Fitzgerald, Ari WR 17.13
15 Demaryius Thomas, Den WR 17.13
16 Emmanuel Sanders, Den WR Q 17.13
17 Rex Burkhead, NE RB 17.06
18 Dion Lewis, NE RB 17.06
19 Delanie Walker, Ten TE 17.06
20 James White, NE RB 17.06
21 Mike Gillislee, NE RB 17.06
22 Carson Wentz, Phi QB Q 17
23 Evan Engram, NYG TE Q 16.94
24 Odell Beckham Jr., NYG WR Q 16.69
25 Blake Bortles, Jax QB Q 16.69

Best TRUE Rank (Avg./SOS)
Rank Name, Team, Pos. P Avg. St. Dev CV SOS Avg. Pt./SOS
1 Todd Gurley II, LAR RB 24.35 13.45 1.81 12.69 1.92
2 Aaron Rodgers, GB QB Q 18.5 8.4 2.2 12.19 1.52
3 Le’Veon Bell, Pit RB 21.57 9.96 2.17 14.81 1.46
4 Antonio Brown, Pit WR 19.59 11.96 1.64 14 1.4
5 Deshaun Watson, Hou QB Q 21.54 13.64 1.58 15.63 1.38
6 DeAndre Hopkins, Hou WR Q 19.45 8.96 2.17 14.38 1.35
7 Alex Smith, Wsh QB 19.67 8.23 2.39 15.63 1.26
8 Stefon Diggs, Min WR 14.16 9.54 1.48 11.5 1.23
9 A.J. Green, Cin WR Q 14.18 8.56 1.66 11.88 1.19
10 Carson Wentz, Phi QB Q 20.28 7.65 2.65 17 1.19
11 Rob Gronkowski, NE TE 17.49 8.01 2.18 14.94 1.17
12 Carlos Hyde, SF RB 14.61 6.26 2.33 12.5 1.17
13 Ezekiel Elliott, Dal RB 16.72 7.71 2.17 14.44 1.16
14 Marvin Jones Jr., Det WR 14.07 7.89 1.78 12.25 1.15
15 Golden Tate, Det WR 14.03 7.51 1.87 12.25 1.15
16 Tom Brady, NE QB 13.99 9.3 1.51 12.25 1.14
17 Kareem Hunt, KC RB 16.2 13.04 1.24 14.25 1.14
18 Drew Brees, NO QB 15.28 4.75 3.22 13.44 1.14
19 Ty Montgomery, GB RB Q 11.45 9.42 1.22 10.31 1.11
20 Odell Beckham Jr., NYG WR Q 18.5 8.99 2.06 16.69 1.11
21 Leonard Fournette, Jax RB 17.71 6.76 2.62 16.13 1.1
22 Matt Ryan, Atl QB 14.26 3.82 3.73 13 1.1
23 Cam Newton, Car QB Q 15.34 10.86 1.41 14.38 1.07
24 Case Keenum, Min QB 15.87 7.06 2.25 14.88 1.07
25 Adam Thielen, Min WR 12.17 7.31 1.67 11.5 1.06
Worst

Rank Name, Team, Pos. P Avg. St. Dev CV SOS Avg. Pt./SOS
1 Jimmy Graham, Sea TE 7.8 6.35 1.23 17.56 0.44
2 Mike Gillislee, NE RB 7.64 6.73 1.14 17.06 0.45
3 Tavarres King, NYG WR Q 7.54 6.55 1.15 16.69 0.45
4 Adrian Peterson, Ari RB Q 7.89 8.1 0.97 16.69 0.47
5 Josh Doctson, Wsh WR 7.91 3.66 2.16 16.5 0.48
6 Derrick Henry, Ten RB 8.44 6.56 1.29 17.44 0.48
7 James White, NE RB 8.29 6.03 1.37 17.06 0.49
8 Mohamed Sanu, Atl WR 8.62 5.53 1.56 17.5 0.49
9 Austin Ekeler, LAC RB 7.53 7.64 0.99 15 0.5
10 Jason Witten, Dal TE 9.19 6.86 1.34 18.19 0.51
11 Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB QB 7.82 7.88 0.99 15.19 0.51
12 Allen Hurns, Jax WR 8.14 4.1 1.98 15.81 0.51
13 Isaiah Crowell, Cle RB 7.84 5.82 1.35 15.19 0.52
14 Jordan Reed, Wsh TE Q 8.52 9.24 0.92 16.44 0.52
15 Mike Davis, Sea RB 8.68 2.8 3.1 16.69 0.52
16 Dede Westbrook, Jax WR 8.27 6.71 1.23 15.81 0.52
17 Bruce Ellington, Hou WR Q 7.57 5.03 1.51 14.38 0.53
18 Andre Ellington, Hou RB 8.71 6.37 1.37 16.5 0.53
19 Danny Amendola, NE WR 8.06 4.93 1.64 15.13 0.53
20 Austin Seferian-Jenkins, NYJ TE Q 7.82 4.84 1.62 14.56 0.54
21 Jordy Nelson, GB WR 7.87 7.06 1.11 14.56 0.54
22 Jack Doyle, Ind TE 8.87 5.5 1.61 16.38 0.54
23 T.J. Yates, Hou QB 8.5 6.53 1.3 15.63 0.54
24 Adam Humphries, TB WR 8.04 4.76 1.69 14.56 0.55
25 Emmanuel Sanders, Den WR Q 9.54 7.26 1.31 17.13 0.56
True MVP (CV/SOS)

True Fantasy Football Rankings 2017

Rank Player, Team, Pos. P Avg. St. Dev CV SOS Avg. Pt./SOS CV/SOS
1 Matt Ryan, Atl QB 14.26 3.82 3.73 13 1.1 0.29
2 Drew Brees, NO QB 15.28 4.75 3.22 13.44 1.14 0.24
3 Josh Gordon, Cle WR 11.5 4.93 2.33 11.19 1.03 0.21
4 Chris Carson, Sea RB Q 9.93 3.07 3.24 16.69 0.59 0.19
5 Marcus Mariota, Ten QB Q 14.03 4.56 3.07 15.94 0.88 0.19
6 Carlos Hyde, SF RB 14.61 6.26 2.33 12.5 1.17 0.19
7 Mike Davis, Sea RB 8.68 2.8 3.1 16.69 0.52 0.19
8 Aaron Rodgers, GB QB Q 18.5 8.4 2.2 12.19 1.52 0.18
9 Eric Decker, Ten WR 7.75 3.71 2.09 12.38 0.63 0.17
10 Leonard Fournette, Jax RB 17.71 6.76 2.62 16.13 1.1 0.16
11 Dez Bryant, Dal WR 11.65 5.08 2.29 14.13 0.82 0.16
12 TJ Jones, Det WR Q 7.65 3.9 1.96 12.25 0.62 0.16
13 Carson Wentz, Phi QB Q 20.28 7.65 2.65 17 1.19 0.16
14 Derek Carr, Oak QB 11.35 5.95 1.91 12.31 0.92 0.16
15 Adam Shaheen, Chi TE 8.54 5.69 1.5 9.69 0.88 0.16
16 Joshua Bellamy, Chi WR 7.58 3.73 2.03 13.13 0.58 0.15
17 Alex Smith, Wsh QB 19.67 8.23 2.39 15.63 1.26 0.15
18 Golden Tate, Det WR 14.03 7.51 1.87 12.25 1.15 0.15
19 Mike Evans, TB WR 13.54 6.11 2.22 14.56 0.93 0.15
20 Case Keenum, Min QB 15.87 7.06 2.25 14.88 1.07 0.15
21 DeAndre Hopkins, Hou WR Q 19.45 8.96 2.17 14.38 1.35 0.15
22 Ezekiel Elliott, Dal RB 16.72 7.71 2.17 14.44 1.16 0.15
23 Delanie Walker, Ten TE 10.91 4.31 2.53 17.06 0.64 0.15
24 Le’Veon Bell, Pit RB 21.57 9.96 2.17 14.81 1.46 0.15
25 Rob Gronkowski, NE TE 17.49 8.01 2.18 14.94 1.17 0.15

Worst FANTASY Player of the Year Award Rank

True Fantasy Football Rankings 2017
Rank Player, Team, Pos. P Avg. St. Dev CV SOS Avg. Pt./SOS CV/SOS
1 Amari Cooper, Oak WR 10.11 11.48 0.88 16.06 0.63 0.05
2 Jordan Reed, Wsh TE Q 8.52 9.24 0.92 16.44 0.52 0.06
3 Adrian Peterson, Ari RB Q 7.89 8.1 0.97 16.69 0.47 0.06
4 Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB QB 7.82 7.88 0.99 15.19 0.51 0.07
5 Austin Ekeler, LAC RB 7.53 7.64 0.99 15 0.5 0.07
6 Mike Gillislee, NE RB 7.64 6.73 1.14 17.06 0.45 0.07
7 Keelan Cole, Jax WR 8.85 8.35 1.06 15.81 0.56 0.07
8 Sterling Shepard, NYG WR Q 9.86 8.73 1.13 16.69 0.59 0.07
9 Rod Smith, Dal RB 9.24 9.33 0.99 14.44 0.64 0.07
10 Tavarres King, NYG WR Q 7.54 6.55 1.15 16.69 0.45 0.07
11 Jimmy Graham, Sea TE 7.8 6.35 1.23 17.56 0.44 0.07
12 Brock Osweiler, Den QB 9.82 9.14 1.07 15.13 0.65 0.07
13 Jerick McKinnon, Min RB 10.01 8.8 1.14 15.69 0.64 0.07
14 Will Fuller V, Hou WR Q 9.52 9.09 1.05 14.38 0.66 0.07
15 Kenny Stills, Mia WR 10.92 8.37 1.3 17.81 0.61 0.07
16 Jason Witten, Dal TE 9.19 6.86 1.34 18.19 0.51 0.07
17 Derrick Henry, Ten RB 8.44 6.56 1.29 17.44 0.48 0.07
18 Kenyan Drake, Mia RB 10.95 9.17 1.19 16.06 0.68 0.07
19 O.J. Howard, TB TE Q 7.68 8.3 0.93 12.13 0.63 0.08
20 Jordy Nelson, GB WR 7.87 7.06 1.11 14.56 0.54 0.08
21 Emmanuel Sanders, Den WR Q 9.54 7.26 1.31 17.13 0.56 0.08
22 Travis Kelce, KC TE 13.77 8.81 1.56 20.19 0.68 0.08
23 Tyler Kroft, Cin TE 8.24 7.67 1.07 13.88 0.59 0.08
24 Robert Woods, LAR WR 12.86 10.19 1.26 16.19 0.79 0.08
25 Dede Westbrook, Jax WR 8.27 6.71 1.23 15.81 0.52 0.08
I will let the numbers speak for themselves instead of giving my input on the True Fantasy Football Rankings 2017, if you have questions/would like to request more detailed reports, please comment below.

*Note: Although its a rarity, especially given we are only looking at fantasy-relevant players, if a player posted 0 points for a given week, its assumed he was hurt and that week’s score was not taken into account for the averages.

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